RIT Fall Open 2025

Div I-A Mixed Saber

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Clark Gymnasium at RIT - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
2 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 98% 79% 33%
3 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 AWAD Omar 100% 88% 48% 9%
5 BLACKBURN Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 7%
6 AMES Kylan 100% 93% 65% 28% 5%
8 TASIKAS Peter 100% 89% 54% 18% 2%
9 FAGAN Lily 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
10 SABATINI Lucas 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
11 HINCHEY Sean 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
12 CARPENTER Sean 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
13 FILMORE Samuel 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
14 REINHART Rowan 100% 87% 42% 7%
15 MARTIENA Jennipher 100% 75% 30% 5%
16 QUILLEN Parker 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
17 PIKRAMENOS Alexandra 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
18 BUNNAGE Lavie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
19 HUFF Skylar 100% 100% 93% 62% 16% 1%
20 LEON Andrew 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
22 REHLING Norah 100% 69% 21% 3% - -
23 WALTERS Rowan 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.