RYC/RJC of the Rockies Fall

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DING Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 3%
3 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
3 LI Lief 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
5 WONG Sebastian 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
6 KAJITA Grayson 100% 100% 90% 54% 14%
7 MINN Scott 100% 88% 54% 18% 2%
8 LE Canden 100% 100% 91% 58% 16%
9 WU KADEN 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
10 TOTH Leland 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
11 VALENCIA Hunter C. 100% 94% 67% 29% 5%
12 ORIGER John 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
13 LARSON Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
14 MENG Andy 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
15 WINE Owen 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
16 COLE Zion 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% -
17 YEO Sebastian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
18 ROTHSCHILD Jonah 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
19 GRISSOM Oliver 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
20 KAMINSKY Harrison 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 NILAN Liam 100% 35% 5% - -
22 BARTELT Alexander 100% 72% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.