Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HINDS David E. - - - 2% 24% 74%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
3 PRICE Owen - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
3 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 19%
5 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% < 1%
6 TINGLE Byrd 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
7 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
8 DEVINNEY Dale - 1% 12% 41% 36% 9%
9 TANG Justin - 1% 14% 38% 36% 11%
10 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - - 3% 23% 55% 20%
11 BORAN Connor - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
12 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - - 1% 15% 44% 40%
13 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 49% 39% 11% 1% < 1% -
14 FERGUSON Sam C. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
15 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil - 3% 20% 44% 29% 4%
16 AZIZI Zahl - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
17 SCHEURER Edwin 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
18 SAE-TUNG Kevin - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
19 LARSON Winston 2% 18% 42% 30% 7% 1%
20 BLUHM Kyle 1% 15% 57% 23% 3% -
21 JACOFF Amelia 12% 39% 36% 11% 1% -
22 CONRAD Matthew 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
23 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - - 4% 30% 48% 18%
24 ALTON Abigail - 11% 36% 39% 13% 1%
25 KELLEY Cullan 9% 41% 37% 12% 1% -
26 TERPENNING Sarah 5% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
27 TOLENTINO SR. Francis - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
28 FISHER Edward 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
29 BOZARTH Alex 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3% -
30 BLEVINS Carolyn 72% 25% 3% - - -
31 TAYLOR Shayla 12% 65% 22% 2% - -
32 PROFFITT Benjamin 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
33 JONES Zamauri 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
34 CRISPIN Haley 27% 60% 13% 1% - -
35 YEE Calvin 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
36 FLEITAS Owen 2% 18% 42% 30% 7% -
37 SOTO Alejandro - 2% 30% 44% 21% 3%
38 EDELMAN Catherine 36% 47% 16% 2% - -
38 MILLER Ethan 2% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
40 BUMP Catalina 5% 30% 48% 16% 1% -
41 DUMONT Amelia 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
42 MORRIS Michelle 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
43 HEATH Sarah 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.