Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
5 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% < 1%
6 TINGLE Byrd 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
7 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
8 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 9%
9 TANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 11%
10 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 20%
11 BORAN Connor 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
12 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
13 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 51% 12% 1% < 1% -
14 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
15 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 4%
16 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
17 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
18 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
19 LARSON Winston 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1%
20 BLUHM Kyle 100% 99% 84% 27% 3% -
21 JACOFF Amelia 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
22 CONRAD Matthew 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
23 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 18%
24 ALTON Abigail 100% 100% 89% 52% 14% 1%
25 KELLEY Cullan 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% -
26 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
27 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
28 FISHER Edward 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
29 BOZARTH Alex 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
30 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 28% 3% - - -
31 TAYLOR Shayla 100% 88% 24% 2% - -
32 PROFFITT Benjamin 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
33 JONES Zamauri 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
34 CRISPIN Haley 100% 73% 14% 1% - -
35 YEE Calvin 100% 94% 64% 24% 5% -
36 FLEITAS Owen 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% -
37 SOTO Alejandro 100% 100% 98% 69% 25% 3%
38 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 64% 17% 2% - -
38 MILLER Ethan 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
40 BUMP Catalina 100% 95% 65% 17% 1% -
41 DUMONT Amelia 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
42 MORRIS Michelle 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
43 HEATH Sarah 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.