MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIU Ethan | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 2 | ALLEN Henry G. | V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 3 | LEE Ian | V V D V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 3 | RUBY Asher | V D V V V D | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 5 | KUE Temujin | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | LU Alex | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 7 | GE Felix Fei | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 8 | ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan | D V V D V D | V V V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 9 | HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott | V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 10 | LIU Yinhong | V V V V V D | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 11 | TEH Tang-Ngu | V V V D V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 12 | DIFRANK Tae | V V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 13 | ZHENG Marcus | D V D V V V | V D | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| 14 | DEPP Edward | D V V V D V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 15 | ZMUDA Aiden | D V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 16 | WANG Freyr | V D V V D | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 17 | DIEPSTRA Jeremy | V D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 18 | TOEWS Jackson | V V D V D V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 19 | FAN Sean | D D V V V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 20 | DAVIS Benjamin | V V V D D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 21 | ZINSER James | D V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 22 | LI Andy | V V D D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 23 | DUNLAP Ian | D V D D V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 24 | POWELL Sean | D V V D V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 25 | ZHAO Jason | V V D D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | TAGORE Reyansh | V D V V D D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 27 | HONG Derek | V D D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 28 | STELLPFLUG Zachary | D D V D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 29 | HERRERA Xavier | D D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | HEYBOER Jason | V D D D V D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 31 | NAZARIO Dominic | D D D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 32 | FEEHAN Conor | D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 33 | WENGER Liam | V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 34 | TERPSTRA Clive | V D D D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 35 | WENGER Rowan | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 36 | GOGOI Kavi | D D D V D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 37 | NI Aaric | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 38 | DENG Albert | D D V D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 39 | DAVIS Jace W. | D D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 40 | UNTEREKER Billy | D D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 41 | CHASE Crosby | D V D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 41 | KOLACKI Gabriel | D D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 43 | RYAN Nash | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 44 | GU Jonathan | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 45 | LANDA Luis | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 46 | SOMERFORD Alex | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.