GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEE James K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 LIU Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
3 KICIMAN Louis 100% 92% 59% 20% 2%
3 SOHONI Vir 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
5 CAREY John 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 AGRAWAL Ariv 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
7 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
8 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
9 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
10 ANDREWS Elliott 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
11 JIN Noah 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
12 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
13 PAGLIARINI James 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
14 NOCON Garrison 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
15 HOHMAN Elias 100% 71% 25% 4% -
16 FILKOV Timur 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
17 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
18 PAGLIARINI John 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
19 DIERKING Cameron 100% 73% 27% 5% -
20 BUONO Antonino 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
21 BENDIK Luca 100% 100% 92% 56% 17% 2%
22 MOY Taiyo 100% 74% 32% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.