Event Results

Y-14 Men's Saber

Rain City Fall RYCSurprise Map

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM Rain City Fencing Center · Bellevue, WA, USA

29 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	XU Adam	V V V V V	V V V	4.8	5	+0.2
2	ERPELDING Ryan	V V V V D	V V V V D	2.2	4	+1.8
3	MITCHELL-LU Hiro	V V V V V	V V D	3.6	5	+1.4
3	GUVEN Derin	V D V V	V V D	3.0	3	-
5	XIA Daniel	V V V V	V V D	2.1	4	+1.9
6	WOLLOW Bennett	V V V D	V V D	1.9	3	+1.1
7	SMITH Etienne	V D V D	V V D	2.3	2	-0.3
8	SHARPE Harrison Missing ID			0.0	0	-
9	HOLMES Xavier	V V V V	D	3.0	4	+1.0
10	LAMADRID Zachary	V D D V	V D	1.1	2	+0.9
11	KELLEHER Liam	V V D D	V D	1.4	2	+0.6
12	JANG Seohyeon	D D V V V	V D	2.8	3	+0.2
13	LIEBISCH Milo	D D V V	V D	2.0	2	-
14	LEE Brendan	D V D V	V D	3.1	2	-1.1
15	SIT Jayden Ka-Hin	D D V D	V D	2.2	1	-1.2
16	ZHEN Felix	D D D D	V	1.1	0	-1.1
17	HARFORD Benjamin	D V V V V	D	1.9	4	+2.1
18	PERNICK Rhen	V V D V		1.9	3	+1.1
19	LEE Andrew	V D V D D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
20	XIA Henson	V D D D V	D	2.7	2	-0.7
21	STEIPP Mathew	D V D V D	D	1.8	2	+0.2
22	LUO Winston	V D D D V	D	2.8	2	-0.8
23	MOODY-FUENTES Nelson	D D D V	D	1.6	1	-0.6
24	JOHNSON Jack	D D V D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
25	MORRIS Gray	D V D D D	D	1.3	1	-0.3
26	OWOO Maki Missing ID			0.0	0	-
26	CHEN Brandon	D D D D D	D	1.3	0	-1.3
26	PETTY Eliot	D D D D D	D	2.3	0	-2.3
29	WANG William	D D D D	D	1.6	0	-1.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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