Rain City Fall RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XU Adam - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 ERPELDING Ryan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
3 MITCHELL-LU Hiro - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 GUVEN Derin - 4% 21% 43% 32%
5 XIA Daniel 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
6 WOLLOW Bennett 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
7 SMITH Etienne 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
9 HOLMES Xavier - 5% 22% 43% 29%
10 LAMADRID Zachary 28% 44% 23% 5% -
11 KELLEHER Liam 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
12 JANG Seohyeon 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
13 LIEBISCH Milo 5% 24% 39% 26% 5%
14 LEE Brendan - 4% 19% 42% 35%
15 SIT Jayden Ka-Hin 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
16 ZHEN Felix 27% 43% 24% 6% -
17 HARFORD Benjamin 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
18 PERNICK Rhen 6% 27% 40% 23% 5%
19 LEE Andrew 3% 16% 36% 34% 12% -
20 XIA Henson 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
21 STEIPP Mathew 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
22 LUO Winston 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 1%
23 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
24 JOHNSON Jack 9% 33% 38% 18% 3%
25 MORRIS Gray 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
26 CHEN Brandon 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
26 PETTY Eliot 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
29 WANG William 12% 36% 36% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.