November NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William - - - - 6% 42% 52%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - - 2% 22% 75%
3 LILOV Neil - - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
3 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
5 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
6 KIM Junhyeong 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
7 CHEONG Heonjun - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
8 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
9 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - - 4% 31% 65%
10 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
11 REN James - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
12 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
13 HJERPE Wade H. - - 3% 15% 39% 35% 9%
14 WONG Tzer - - 1% 9% 36% 44% 10%
15 WON Taeyoung - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
16 MATTOO Deven 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 2%
17 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
18 WANG Robert - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
19 GUFFEY Christopher - - 6% 30% 41% 20% 3%
20 YEN Darren - - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
20 KIM ELIJAH - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13% -
20 LEE Yehun - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
23 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
24 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
25 WANG Nicolas - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
26 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
27 HUANG Alex F. - 4% 20% 41% 30% 6%
28 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 3%
29 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 1% 16% 82%
30 LEE Dohun - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% -
31 KIM Shaun M. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
32 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
33 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 4%
34 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - - 6% 94%
35 CHOI Silas - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
36 GONZALEZ Jake 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% < 1%
37 CHON Collin - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
38 OH Triton - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
38 LI Howard - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
40 WANG Daniel - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
41 ANDRES Michael 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
42 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 1%
43 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
43 NOFAL Zeyad - - - - 6% 31% 63%
45 JOO Jinhyun - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
46 CHUNG Connor 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
47 ZHOU William 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
48 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
49 YE Eric - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
50 ASLAN Tolga - - - 5% 27% 46% 22%
51 KILARI Krish - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
52 CARRINGTON IV William T. 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
53 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
54 POFF Kainoa 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
55 SU Landon - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
56 VAID Luke - 1% 6% 22% 40% 28% 3%
57 KIM Ethan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
58 LI Ayden 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
59 ROBINSON William - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
60 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
60 PARK Hajun 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
62 HOLZ Lucas 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
63 FALCON-KORB Mathis 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
64 KANG Evan R. 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
65 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - - 5% 95%
66 YANG Ziyi - - 2% 18% 41% 32% 6%
67 HWANG Jayden 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% < 1%
68 LIN Maxim - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
69 BERRIO Carter E. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
70 BIVIJI Ali 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
71 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 3% 25% 71%
72 QIU Nathan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
73 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 4% 21% 47% 29%
74 YANG Phillip 3% 18% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
75 TAO Jeffrey - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
76 WANG Jerry 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
77 AO Christopher 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
78 LIN Daniel - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
79 WESLER Logan A. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
80 LIM William J. - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
81 GREMILLION Obadiah 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
82 GERSTMANN Max T. 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
83 LI Yiwei 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
84 BOLLU Viren 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
85 CAO Oliver 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
86 HONG Rubin - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
87 LIU Aaron 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
88 UEMOTO Ken 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
89 WAXLER Ryan 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
90 TIAGI Daniel 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
91 IYER Neil 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
92 SANGSTER Arden 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
93 PARK Junseong - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
94 WEI Rian 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
95 CHAVES Matthew J. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
95 KANG Evan 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
97 SIERADZKY Dawson - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
97 LIN Philip T. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
99 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
100 BAE Jason I. - 1% 6% 25% 44% 22% 2%
101 KITSON Chase 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% - -
102 PINTO Marcus 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
102 HUBLALL Ethan 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
104 TIAGI George 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
105 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
106 ZHANG Kaixuan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
107 BOSITA Carson 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
108 YUN Jaesun - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
109 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
110 PATEL Rayn - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
111 TSE Aiden J - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
112 KOVALEV Daniil N. - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
113 SHOMAN Noah - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
113 SUBA Lucas 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
115 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
116 YAN William 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
117 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
117 LEE Noah - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15% -
117 YADAV Lakshya 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% - -
120 HU Chris - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
121 JOO Jeein - - 4% 20% 43% 32% 1%
122 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
123 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 3% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1% -
124 HAN Edward 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
125 KALPATHY Rohit 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
126 ATWOOD Griffin 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
127 ZHAO Lucas 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
127 KOZLOFF Wyatt 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
129 TOZZI Massimo 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
130 DIACOS Jordan - - 5% 27% 42% 23% 3%
131 PI Alexander - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
132 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
133 GONG Alex 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
134 MEYERSON Jacob - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
135 LEE Brady 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
137 KOTVALI Aneesh 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
138 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 2% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
139 PEI Anthony 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
140 LIU Kevin 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
141 SU Kingston 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
142 CRICOL Damian 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
143 SO Preston - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% -
144 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
145 ALAVE Kyle 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
146 YANG Dylan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
147 KIM Kendrick 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
148 OH Aster 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
149 JI Johnson 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% - -
150 WANG ANDREW CHANG 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
151 AN Damon 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
152 LAUB William 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
153 CHAN Elliott 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
154 WANG Will 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
155 GREENSTEIN Viktor 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
156 CHEN Jonathan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
156 HERNANDEZ Stanton 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
156 KHOTLINE Daniel 16% 48% 30% 5% - - -
159 GONG Jerry 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
160 NGO Maximus 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
161 KUSHKOV Daniel - 2% 12% 31% 38% 15% 2%
161 PEREIRA Beckham 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
163 LIU Leyi 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
164 KATZ Ryan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
165 VEDRE Neil 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
166 MEHAN Nicholas 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
167 RAMANAN Govind 2% 14% 36% 35% 11% 1% -
168 MUNGUIA Nathan 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 3% -
169 CHEN Samuel 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
170 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 5% 31% 46% 16% 2% - -
171 HALL Noah 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
172 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
173 MCDONALD Finn 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
174 DOLEV Ido 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
175 GUREWICH Benjamin 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
175 STURGEON Cole 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
177 DECK Tyson 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
177 SADHU Neiyam 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
177 FENG Brendan 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
180 SUN Andrew 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
180 PORTER Dupree 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
180 WONG Lucas 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
183 HENDERSON Lucas 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% - -
184 TSAO Oliver 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
184 ROBERTS Sam - < 1% 2% 15% 40% 34% 9%
184 CHENG Brandon 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
187 SAGE Sebastian 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
188 SUN Andy 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
189 RINALDI Savio 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
190 NARDINI Nathanael P. 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
190 ZHAO Royce 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
192 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
193 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
193 LEE Brandon 49% 41% 10% 1% - - -
195 BIAN Hongyu 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
196 ONG Dylan 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
196 LAZARTE Gabriel 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
198 LI Yidong A. 11% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
198 CHEN Shawn 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
200 NAMBIAR Navin 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.