November NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 52%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
5 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 KIM Junhyeong 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
7 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
8 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
9 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
10 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
11 REN James 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
12 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
13 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
14 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 10%
15 WON Taeyoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
16 MATTOO Deven 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
17 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
18 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
19 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 23% 3%
20 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
20 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% -
20 LEE Yehun 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
23 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
24 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
25 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
26 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
28 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
29 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
30 LEE Dohun 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% -
31 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
32 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
33 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 4%
34 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
35 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
36 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% < 1%
37 CHON Collin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
38 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
38 LI Howard 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
40 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
41 ANDRES Michael 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
42 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 1%
43 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
43 NOFAL Zeyad 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
45 JOO Jinhyun 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
46 CHUNG Connor 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
47 ZHOU William 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
48 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
49 YE Eric 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
50 ASLAN Tolga 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
51 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
52 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
53 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
54 POFF Kainoa 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
55 SU Landon 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
56 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 3%
57 KIM Ethan 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
58 LI Ayden 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
59 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
60 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
60 PARK Hajun 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
62 HOLZ Lucas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3% -
63 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
64 KANG Evan R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
65 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
66 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 6%
67 HWANG Jayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% < 1%
68 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
69 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
70 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
71 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
72 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
73 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
74 YANG Phillip 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
75 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
76 WANG Jerry 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
77 AO Christopher 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
78 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
79 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
80 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
81 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% 1%
82 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
83 LI Yiwei 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
84 BOLLU Viren 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
85 CAO Oliver 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
86 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
87 LIU Aaron 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
88 UEMOTO Ken 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
89 WAXLER Ryan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
90 TIAGI Daniel 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
91 IYER Neil 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
92 SANGSTER Arden 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
93 PARK Junseong 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
94 WEI Rian 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
95 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
95 KANG Evan 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
97 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
97 LIN Philip T. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
99 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
100 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25% 2%
101 KITSON Chase 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
102 PINTO Marcus 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
102 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
104 TIAGI George 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
105 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
106 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
108 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
109 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
110 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
111 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
112 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
113 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
113 SUBA Lucas 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
115 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
116 YAN William 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
117 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 1%
117 LEE Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15% -
117 YADAV Lakshya 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
120 HU Chris 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
121 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 1%
122 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
123 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1% -
124 HAN Edward 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
125 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
126 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
127 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
127 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
129 TOZZI Massimo 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
130 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
131 PI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
132 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
133 GONG Alex 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
134 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
135 LEE Brady 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
137 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
138 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
139 PEI Anthony 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
140 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
141 SU Kingston 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
142 CRICOL Damian 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
143 SO Preston 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% -
144 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
145 ALAVE Kyle 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
146 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
147 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
148 OH Aster 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 3% -
149 JI Johnson 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% - -
150 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
151 AN Damon 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
152 LAUB William 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
153 CHAN Elliott 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
154 WANG Will 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
155 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
156 CHEN Jonathan 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
156 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
156 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 84% 36% 6% - - -
159 GONG Jerry 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
160 NGO Maximus 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
161 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17% 2%
161 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
163 LIU Leyi 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
164 KATZ Ryan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
165 VEDRE Neil 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
166 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
167 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1% -
168 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
169 CHEN Samuel 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
170 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 95% 64% 18% 2% - -
171 HALL Noah 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
172 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
173 MCDONALD Finn 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
174 DOLEV Ido 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
175 GUREWICH Benjamin 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
175 STURGEON Cole 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
177 DECK Tyson 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
177 SADHU Neiyam 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
177 FENG Brendan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
180 SUN Andrew 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
180 PORTER Dupree 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
180 WONG Lucas 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
183 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% - -
184 TSAO Oliver 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
184 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
184 CHENG Brandon 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
187 SAGE Sebastian 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
188 SUN Andy 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
189 RINALDI Savio 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
190 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
190 ZHAO Royce 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
192 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
193 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
193 LEE Brandon 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
195 BIAN Hongyu 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
196 ONG Dylan 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
196 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
198 LI Yidong A. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
198 CHEN Shawn 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
200 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.