Thanksgiving Throwdown

Unrated Women's Épée

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THOMPSON Grace 1% 10% 33% 41% 14% 1%
2 BERGAN Bailey 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% < 1%
3 KEFFLER Nadia 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
3 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
5 KRECK Marie - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
6 LAI Angel - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
7 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
8 JOHNSTON Kira 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1%
9 POOLE Katherine 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
10 VILLAVICENCIO Fiorella - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
11 GIGLIO Liliane 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
12 NALLY Madison 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
13 KELLY Evelyn 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.