Event Results
Thanksgiving ThrowdownSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TINGLE Byrd | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 2 | MCCREADY-FLORA Felicity | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BLEVINS Carolyn | V V V V V V | V V D | 1.8 | 6 | +4.2 |
| 3 | MITCHELL Robert | V V V V V | V V D | 1.1 | 5 | +3.9 |
| 5 | TERPENNING Sarah | V V D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | ALLEN Lily | D V V V V | V D | 1.1 | 4 | +2.9 |
| 7 | HANDLER Joshua | V D V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | ROUNTREE Andrew | V D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | COLBY Jim | D V V V D | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 10 | VIEZCA Olivia | D D V V V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 11 | BRUTON Vinton | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 12 | SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. | D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 13 | DILLENBACK Isaiah | D V V D D D | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 14 | SIMMONS Noah | V D D D D | V D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 15 | BAMZAI Shaila | D D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 16 | HALL Joshua | D D D D D | V D | 4.3 | 0 | -4.3 |
| 17 | RAWLS Henry | V D D D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 18 | SCHARTZ James | D D D D D | D | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| 19 | IRWIN JR Richard | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |