Thanksgiving Throwdown

Unrated Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TINGLE Byrd - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
2 MCCREADY-FLORA Felicity - 1% 10% 34% 41% 15%
3 BLEVINS Carolyn 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - < 1%
3 MITCHELL Robert 23% 47% 27% 4% - < 1%
5 TERPENNING Sarah - 1% 12% 35% 39% 11% 1%
6 ALLEN Lily 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
7 HANDLER Joshua - 1% 8% 30% 43% 16% 2%
8 ROUNTREE Andrew 1% 9% 30% 41% 19% -
9 COLBY Jim 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
10 VIEZCA Olivia - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
11 BRUTON Vinton 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% -
12 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 6% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
13 DILLENBACK Isaiah - 1% 13% 44% 34% 8% 1%
14 SIMMONS Noah - < 1% 2% 20% 46% 31%
15 BAMZAI Shaila 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
16 HALL Joshua < 1% - 2% 13% 42% 43%
17 RAWLS Henry - 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% -
18 SCHARTZ James < 1% 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
19 IRWIN JR Richard 4% 41% 41% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.