Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRUT Anton - - - 4% 31% 64%
2 SINGH Meet 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
3 SKOLNICK Michael W. - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 PRICE Owen - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
5 TINGLE Byrd 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
6 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual - 5% 24% 39% 26% 5% -
7 LI Happy 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% -
8 SAE-TUNG Kevin - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
9 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - - 6% 32% 61%
10 GUARDIOLA Emily 3% 19% 41% 32% 5% -
11 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - - 2% 22% 59% 16%
12 TOLENTINO SR. Francis - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
13 MITCHELL Robert 4% 23% 43% 25% 5% -
14 SOTO Alejandro 1% 10% 43% 35% 10% 1%
15 LAU-ALLEN Macy 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
16 TRUDEAU Allison 23% 44% 27% 5% - -
17 ALLEN Lily 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
18 SCHICKEL Juliana 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
19 STRUMLAUF Jacob 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
20 TINSLEY Donovan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
21 JACOFF Amelia 29% 48% 20% 4% - -
22 BRUTON Vinton 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
23 KELLEY Cullan 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
24 CRISPIN Haley 23% 45% 26% 5% - -
25 GUNLICKS Olin < 1% 6% 24% 39% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.