Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
3 SKOLNICK Michael W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
5 TINGLE Byrd 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
6 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
7 LI Happy 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
8 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
9 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
10 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 97% 78% 37% 5% -
11 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 16%
12 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
13 MITCHELL Robert 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% -
14 SOTO Alejandro 100% 99% 89% 46% 11% 1%
15 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
16 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
17 ALLEN Lily 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
18 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
19 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
20 TINSLEY Donovan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
21 JACOFF Amelia 100% 71% 24% 4% - -
22 BRUTON Vinton 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
23 KELLEY Cullan 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
24 CRISPIN Haley 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
25 GUNLICKS Olin 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.