Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUNG Nathan - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 CHEN Chelsea - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
3 GALANG Aiden - - 1% 10% 35% 45% 8%
3 XU Chenxi - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
5 CHEN Brian 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% < 1% -
6 SEVERT David - 2% 12% 37% 42% 6%
7 CAO Kaylin - - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11%
8 PICACHE Merrick - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
9 GOSAVI Amiya 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
10 SHKALIKOV Denys - - 1% 14% 47% 32% 6%
11 CHEN Elon 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
12 LAN Rory 1% 12% 41% 37% 9% -
13 VAN ROY Petra 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
14 ZHANG Leon 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
15 GOURJI Roman 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
16 CHEN Jiayi 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
17 WU Jaren 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
18 HULETTE Kirin 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
19 KRASNOV Julia 5% 36% 45% 12% 1% -
20 PAK Louis 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.