SAS Pirate Cup #2

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Daniel 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% < 1%
2 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 PETTY Eliot - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
3 XIA Henson - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
5 STARR Lucy 1% 9% 34% 45% 11% 1% -
6 HENLEY Jasper 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
7 KREMER Orianna 30% 42% 22% 5% - - -
8 BATTEN Miles 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
9 FITZNER Alistair - - 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
10 WILLIAMS Ember 1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
11 WANG Brendan - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
12 MACIE Theodore 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
13 CHIN Domyeong 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
14 BENESH Archer 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.