SAS Pirate Cup #2

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Daniel 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% < 1%
2 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
3 PETTY Eliot 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 XIA Henson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 STARR Lucy 100% 99% 90% 57% 11% 1% -
6 HENLEY Jasper 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
7 KREMER Orianna 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
8 BATTEN Miles 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
9 FITZNER Alistair 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
10 WILLIAMS Ember 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
11 WANG Brendan 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
12 MACIE Theodore 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
13 CHIN Domyeong 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
14 BENESH Archer 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.