Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 HAHN Ever - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 SHAPIRO Leo - - 2% 12% 37% 43% 6%
3 LI Lucas - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
5 TERENTIEV Michael - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
6 ZHANG Howard - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
7 MOGUNOV Alan - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
8 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
9 LLOYD Maxwell - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
10 HU Simon - - 1% 7% 34% 56% 3%
11 ALUF William - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
12 O'KEEFE Brody - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
13 NARAYAN Rishi - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
14 ZALETAEV Jacob - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
15 PARK Sean - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
16 PARK Layne - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
17 HENDERSON Louis - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
18 CAO HAOTIAN - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
19 ZHANG Leaf 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
20 SABINO Bennett - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
21 GUCCIARDI Francesco - - - - 1% 18% 80%
22 ZHANG Edison Ji - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
23 KRISHNARASA Aiyann - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 LI Anton - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
25 ZHAO Alexander - 1% 10% 31% 41% 14% 1%
26 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
27 WANG Russell - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
28 MARTIRE Francis 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
29 IP Hunter - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
30 LEE Shane Gunn - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
31 YU Dylan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
32 MANGINI Lorenzo - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
33 WANG Harrison 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% < 1%
34 ZHANG Mark - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
35 CHEN Ryan - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8% -
36 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
37 PATEL Rohan - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
38 HUANG KIMBALL 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
39 FAZELINIA Erfaan 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
40 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
41 LEIGH Anthony 1% 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
42 SUH Jordan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
42 LUI Vincent 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
44 XU Jayden 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
44 EASLEY Braddock 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
46 ADOLPHUS March - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
47 KATZ Isaac 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
48 LI Jayden 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1%
49 BROOKS Grant 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
50 BARAKH Adam 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
51 LI Xinren 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
52 BURNS Carson 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
53 ZHANG Leon - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
54 BLACK Bennett 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
55 PARROCO Jacob 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
56 DIORIO James 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
56 URTUBI Sebastian 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 5% -
58 BLACK Bauer 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
59 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
60 TANG Nicholas 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% 1% -
61 GARCIA-ALBEA Oscar 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
62 FERNAINE Thomas 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
63 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
64 KULJIEV Boyan 20% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
65 SHAH Ayaan - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
66 LEE Marcus 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
67 HO Alexander 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
68 ABADIR james 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
69 WONG Jacob 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
70 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
71 VITALE NIKO 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
72 OLSON Prescott 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
73 CASTON Frederick (James) 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
74 ROBLES Rafael 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
75 KISHORE Rishaan 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% - -
76 CENEDELLA Izaac 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
77 PACIUS Hunter 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
78 YUE Wesley < 1% 8% 32% 44% 14% 2% -
79 VINCENT Yian < 1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
80 CHEN Tyler 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
81 GU Gordon 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
81 LEE Lucas 49% 40% 9% 1% - - -
83 SKOLNIK Leo 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.