Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 6%
3 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
5 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
6 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
7 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
8 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
9 LLOYD Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
10 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59% 3%
11 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
12 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
13 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
14 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
15 PARK Sean 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
16 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
17 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
18 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
19 ZHANG Leaf 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
20 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
21 GUCCIARDI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
22 ZHANG Edison Ji 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
23 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
24 LI Anton 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
25 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16% 1%
26 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
27 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
28 MARTIRE Francis 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
29 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
30 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
31 YU Dylan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
32 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
33 WANG Harrison 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% < 1%
34 ZHANG Mark 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
35 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
36 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
37 PATEL Rohan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
38 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
39 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
40 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
41 LEIGH Anthony 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
42 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
42 LUI Vincent 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
44 XU Jayden 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
44 EASLEY Braddock 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
46 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
47 KATZ Isaac 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
48 LI Jayden 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
49 BROOKS Grant 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
50 BARAKH Adam 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
51 LI Xinren 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
52 BURNS Carson 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 6% -
53 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
54 BLACK Bennett 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
55 PARROCO Jacob 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
56 DIORIO James 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
56 URTUBI Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
58 BLACK Bauer 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
59 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
60 TANG Nicholas 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
61 GARCIA-ALBEA Oscar 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
62 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
63 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
64 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
65 SHAH Ayaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
66 LEE Marcus 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
67 HO Alexander 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
68 ABADIR james 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
69 WONG Jacob 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
70 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
71 VITALE NIKO 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
72 OLSON Prescott 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
73 CASTON Frederick (James) 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
74 ROBLES Rafael 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
75 KISHORE Rishaan 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
76 CENEDELLA Izaac 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
77 PACIUS Hunter 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
78 YUE Wesley 100% 100% 92% 60% 16% 2% -
79 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
80 CHEN Tyler 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
81 GU Gordon 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
81 LEE Lucas 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
83 SKOLNIK Leo 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.