Drew Page Memorial Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 24%
3 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
3 BUCHAS James 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
5 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
6 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
7 MCDERMOTT James E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25% 3%
8 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
9 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
10 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 20%
11 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
12 EGHIAN Armen 100% 91% 52% 13% 1% -
13 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
14 WHITE Aidan 100% 100% 94% 63% 21% 2%
15 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
16 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
17 BROWN Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
18 ELBAG Mark H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
19 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
20 ZHANG Qing 100% 99% 91% 55% 17% 2%
21 CROTTY James 100% 96% 73% 29% 5% -
22 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
23 REELS Eric J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
24 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
25 TETREAULT Todd 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
26 HARRIS Noah 100% 96% 59% 19% 3% -
27 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
28 HAN Nathan 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
29 CUFF Joe 100% 85% 32% 5% - -
30 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
31 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
32 DOERING Andrew 100% 95% 66% 19% 2% - -
33 GIORDANO Nathan 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
34 LIU Easun 100% 37% 5% - - -
36 ZDROJOWY Keith 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
37 BEEVER Logan 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
38 BRUCKNER Julian 100% 28% 3% - - -
39 HEROUX Nathan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.