The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
2 LEE Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
3 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 96% 68% 20%
5 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 19%
6 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
8 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
9 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
10 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
11 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
12 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
13 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
14 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
15 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
16 LIN Haley 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
17 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
18 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% < 1%
19 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
20 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 26%
21 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
22 HUDSON Declan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
24 KONG Ethan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
25 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
26 SAAD Noah 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
27 PERI Mourya 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
28 SHI Yeyu 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
29 JANKOVIC Ivan 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
30 HUANG Max 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
31 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
32 GALIOTE James 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
33 WEI Jayden 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
34 YAO Ryan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
35 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
36 KENDLER Micah 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
37 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
38 KIM Daniel 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
39 DAVIS Kai 100% 86% 34% 6% -
40 SALLAI Abel 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
41 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 12% 1%
42 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12% 1%
43 SMOTHERS Eli 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
44 TSEN Mason 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
45 SAAD Peter 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
46 HALE Bradley 100% 99% 84% 36% 5%
47 YAO Aiden 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
48 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
49 FENG Xinmin 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
50 CASH William Li 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 11% 1%
51 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
52 SACKETT Gavin 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
53 PRABHU Srinish 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
54 CHONG Eden 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
55 KOC Dogukan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
56 MILLER Balthazar 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
56 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
58 WORMACK Anthony Jr. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
59 KOU Steven 100% 34% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.