The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMOLICH Emily - - - 3% 27% 70%
2 REILLY Carys 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
3 WANG Allyson 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
3 ZHONG Meghan - 1% 9% 34% 46% 10%
5 WU Karina 1% 10% 36% 41% 11% 1%
6 HUANG Gabrielle 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
7 HALLEY Jacqueline 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
8 OLAND Norah - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
9 JIANG Arwen 4% 26% 42% 24% 4% -
10 LEE Soli 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
11 WILK Catherine 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
12 LAPCZYNSKI Olivia 50% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.