The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
3 WANG Allyson 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 1%
3 ZHONG Meghan 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 10%
5 WU Karina 100% 99% 89% 53% 12% 1%
6 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
7 HALLEY Jacqueline 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
8 OLAND Norah 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
9 JIANG Arwen 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
10 LEE Soli 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
11 WILK Catherine 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
12 LAPCZYNSKI Olivia 100% 50% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.