Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
2 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
3 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
5 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
6 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
7 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
8 YANG Selina 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
9 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
10 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
11 PARK Gabriella 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
12 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
13 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
14 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
15 KONDE Anika 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
16 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
17 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 33%
18 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
19 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
20 DEMRY Kylee 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
21 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
22 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
23 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 35%
24 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
25 YAP Anna 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
26 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 3%
27 HILD Anya 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
28 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
29 JUN Sofia 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
30 SHTEYMAN Simone 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
31 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
32 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
33 KIM Eunjae 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
34 DOWNES Camille 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
35 FAZAL Sasha 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
36 PAN Lai An 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
37 FREY Elise 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
38 LEE Jiyoung 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
39 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
40 BAO Amelia 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% 1%
41 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
42 PARAISO Isabella 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
43 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
44 TOM Danielle 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
45 ONG Katherine 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
46 ZHOU Claire 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
47 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
48 LIM Charlotte 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
49 WEI Avril 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
50 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
50 MADDISON Erica 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
52 HAGLER Alice 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
53 QUIROS Lucia 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
54 FENG chloe 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
55 CAO Audrey 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
56 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
57 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1% -
58 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
59 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
60 MADDISON Estelle 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
61 GU Allison 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
62 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
63 SMITH Genevieve 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
64 SAGER Bianca 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
65 LIAO Amber 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
66 LIM Isabella 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
67 SINGH Zara 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
68 DATLA Aanya 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
69 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
69 BROGAN Samantha 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3% -
69 SVIDER Axelle 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
72 CHANG Grace 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
73 SRIVASTAV Vani 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
74 WU Jing 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
75 SAXENA Devina Shyamli 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
76 SATHISH Sreesha 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.