Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
2 SUBA Lucas - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 27%
3 CLARK Aram - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 5%
3 AO Christopher - 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
5 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
6 JI Johnson - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
7 SUN Andrew - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
8 BIVIJI Ali - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
9 HENDERSON Lucas - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
10 PORTER Dupree - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10%
10 ZHAO Royce - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 LUAN Mark - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
13 LAUB William - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
14 AROUNA Ilan 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
15 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 YU xiaodao - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
17 KIM Kendrick - - - 4% 23% 50% 23%
18 CRAWFORD William 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% < 1%
19 YAN William - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
20 ZWAKA Jonas - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
21 ZHANG Kaixuan - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
22 YU Zhexuan - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
23 MEHAN Nicholas - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
24 MANESCU Miron - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
25 AYDOGDU Hakan - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
26 WASCO Andrew - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
27 SWIFT Owen - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
28 WEI William 1% 7% 28% 38% 22% 4%
29 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
30 LIU Eric 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
31 COPP Max 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
32 BARENBOYM Michael 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
33 YU Matteo - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
33 WANG Zixin - 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 4%
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
36 KETT Richard 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
37 LIM Brandon - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
38 BOLLU Viren - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
39 EYBELMAN Ariel - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
40 VALENCIA Jose - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
41 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
42 DUMOULIN Gabriel - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
43 RAJMOHAN Arya - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
44 KATZ Ryan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
45 DAI Zihou - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
46 MERMEGAS Alexander 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
47 WANG Theodore 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
48 JIANG Terence 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
49 KIM Theodore - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
50 MCDONALD Finn - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
50 CHU Kaden 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
52 CIEMINS Henry - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
53 SRIVATS Vedh - 1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 5%
54 EKONG-REID Severian - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
55 DEMERS Bodhi 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
56 BALE ATMAN 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
57 COGLIANO Max 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
58 LIU Andrew 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
59 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
60 TRZEPLA Max 1% 11% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
60 LAZARTE Gabriel 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
62 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
63 BAHK Caleb 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
64 CHIEN Nolan 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
65 ATWOOD Griffin - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
66 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
67 ROSADO Sebastian - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
68 LIU Ryan 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
69 ROMBERG Sam 3% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
70 JAIN Karanvir 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
71 TSAO Oliver - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
72 DREYER William 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
72 LUAN Stephen 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
74 SAYAR Luke 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
75 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
76 LEVIN Jacob 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
77 LIEBOWITZ Carson 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
78 LORENZ Evan 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
79 WOLMART Zander 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
80 KHOTLINE Daniel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
81 COUNTS Nicholas - 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
81 ZHIVICH Theodore 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
83 PEACE Samuel 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
84 LIN Grant - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
85 WEISS Toby 2% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
86 TASIKAS Peter 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
87 QI Jiaji 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
88 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
89 BRADBURY Noah 20% 48% 25% 6% 1% - -
89 ZHANG Simon 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
91 KENNEDY Tomás 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
92 SHEYNZON Benjamin 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
93 NAJI Ethan 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 4% -
93 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
95 COOPER Samuel - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
96 JARAMILLO Juan 12% 42% 34% 11% 2% -
97 HELD Lev 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
98 STEWART Samuel 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
99 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
100 WANG Shawn 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
101 MENZIES Liam 34% 43% 18% 4% - - -
102 TSAO Alister 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
103 VISH Manyu 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
104 FIROOZI Sam 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
104 MARTINEZ Luke 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
106 DAYAMA Ronak 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
107 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
108 ZHANG Ray 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
109 LIEU Nicholas 17% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
110 WELSTEAD Nicholas 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
110 MUKHERJEE Aryan 64% 30% 5% - - - -
112 SINGH Kaveesh 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
113 KURIYAMA Marcus 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
113 MACK Justin 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
115 CONG Mason 17% 42% 30% 10% 2% - -
116 ALCAREZ Emmett 77% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.