Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
2 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
3 AO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
5 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 JI Johnson 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
7 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
8 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
9 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
10 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
10 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
12 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
13 LAUB William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
14 AROUNA Ilan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
15 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
16 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 7%
17 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
18 CRAWFORD William 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% < 1%
19 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
20 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
21 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
22 YU Zhexuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
23 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
24 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
25 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
26 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
27 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
28 WEI William 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
29 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
30 LIU Eric 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
31 COPP Max 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
32 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
33 YU Matteo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
33 WANG Zixin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
36 KETT Richard 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
37 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
38 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
39 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
40 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
41 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
42 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
43 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
44 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
45 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
46 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
47 WANG Theodore 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
48 JIANG Terence 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
49 KIM Theodore 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
50 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
50 CHU Kaden 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
52 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
53 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
54 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
55 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
56 BALE ATMAN 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
57 COGLIANO Max 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
58 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
59 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
60 TRZEPLA Max 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
60 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 66% 33% 10% 1%
62 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
63 BAHK Caleb 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
64 CHIEN Nolan 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
65 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
66 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
67 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
68 LIU Ryan 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
69 ROMBERG Sam 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
70 JAIN Karanvir 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
71 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
72 DREYER William 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
72 LUAN Stephen 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
74 SAYAR Luke 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
75 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
76 LEVIN Jacob 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
77 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
78 LORENZ Evan 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
79 WOLMART Zander 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
80 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
81 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
81 ZHIVICH Theodore 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
83 PEACE Samuel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
84 LIN Grant 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
85 WEISS Toby 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
86 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
87 QI Jiaji 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
88 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
89 BRADBURY Noah 100% 80% 32% 7% 1% - -
89 ZHANG Simon 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
91 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
92 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
93 NAJI Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
93 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
95 COOPER Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
96 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% -
97 HELD Lev 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
98 STEWART Samuel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
99 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
100 WANG Shawn 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
101 MENZIES Liam 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
102 TSAO Alister 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
103 VISH Manyu 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
104 FIROOZI Sam 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
104 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
106 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
107 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
108 ZHANG Ray 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
109 LIEU Nicholas 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -
110 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
110 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 36% 6% - - - -
112 SINGH Kaveesh 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
113 KURIYAMA Marcus 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
113 MACK Justin 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
115 CONG Mason 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% - -
116 ALCAREZ Emmett 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.