Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Luca - 2% 12% 40% 46%
2 WANG Russell - - 4% 28% 68%
3 FRANTZ Ken - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 ZHANG Leon - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
5 BROOKS Grant 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
6 ADOLPHUS March - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
7 KIM Colin 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
8 GENTELA Pradyumna 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
9 TAUR Marcus 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
10 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - 6% 23% 39% 27% 6%
12 GOLDBERG Wyatt 7% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
13 GARCIA Francisco 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
14 ZHANG Ethan 6% 27% 42% 22% 2%
15 GUO Zi-Yang 3% 18% 39% 33% 8%
16 VINCENT Yian 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
17 MANGINI Lorenzo - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
18 WONG Jacob - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
19 MEYERS Alec 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
20 ENG Christian 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
21 LAM Esher 22% 42% 28% 7% 1%
22 GU Gordon 20% 43% 29% 7% -
23 BELLOWS Blake 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
24 LERMAN Elan 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
26 SHI Henry 4% 23% 43% 27% 3%
27 CIECIEREGA Michael 12% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
28 PAN William - 1% 12% 43% 36% 8%
29 POLITO Anthony 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
30 JIANG Elvin 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
31 MCCAFFREY Balthazar 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 MALM Gabriel 8% 31% 41% 18% 2%
33 LIU Victor 21% 43% 28% 7% -
34 CHEN Kevin J. 40% 42% 15% 3% - -
35 DEGREGORIS Gerard Jan 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
36 NG Ethan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.