Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
3 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
5 BROOKS Grant 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
6 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
7 KIM Colin 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
8 GENTELA Pradyumna 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
9 TAUR Marcus 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
10 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
12 GOLDBERG Wyatt 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% -
13 GARCIA Francisco 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
14 ZHANG Ethan 100% 94% 67% 25% 2%
15 GUO Zi-Yang 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
16 VINCENT Yian 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
17 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
18 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
19 MEYERS Alec 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
20 ENG Christian 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
21 LAM Esher 100% 78% 36% 8% 1%
22 GU Gordon 100% 80% 37% 7% -
23 BELLOWS Blake 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
24 LERMAN Elan 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
26 SHI Henry 100% 96% 73% 31% 3%
27 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
28 PAN William 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 8%
29 POLITO Anthony 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
30 JIANG Elvin 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
31 MCCAFFREY Balthazar 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
32 MALM Gabriel 100% 92% 61% 20% 2%
33 LIU Victor 100% 79% 36% 7% -
34 CHEN Kevin J. 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
35 DEGREGORIS Gerard Jan 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
36 NG Ethan 100% 78% 39% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.