NIFC Fall Women's and Mixed Foil + Sabre

Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 12:45 PM

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club - St John, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERRERA Xavier 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6%
2 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 8%
3 COOK Aaron N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
3 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
5 NEED William 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
6 PAPP Mike 100% 99% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
7 LOVAN Audrey 100% 100% 96% 74% 21% 1%
8 MISIOURA Mark 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
9 HO Ka Shuen 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% -
10 JHAVERI Rajan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
11 MCPHEETERS Kendra J. 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
12 HAM Kevin P. 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
13 LAI Yat Hay Casper 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
13 BAILEY Lauren 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
13 BUTTA Reese 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
16 ASHBY Matthew 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
17 CHAMBERS Kyle 100% 100% 95% 67% 22% 1%
18 GUKASOVA Anastasia 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
19 DOWNS Heather 100% 92% 61% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.