PFA Holiday Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BINDER Ayven 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% < 1%
2 KAPASHIKOV Constantine - - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
3 ORELUP Austin - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
3 ARISHITA Michael - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
5 ASKEW Annabel - 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
6 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
7 FESTIN Michael G. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
8 SCHWENK Cody D. - 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
9 ROLDAN Ethan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
10 TAARIQ Tanisha 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
11 BIGSBY Joaquin - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
12 WANG Venise - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 3%
13 TROMBLEY Matthew 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
14 FELDMAN Louis 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
15 BROWNING Abraham - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
16 KELLEHER Cash 18% 43% 31% 7% 1% - -
17 ROLDAN Madison 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
18 WANG Rienna 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
19 FORBES Samantha 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
20 JONES Noella 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
21 ALLEN Sydney 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.