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Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BINDER Ayven 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% < 1%
2 KAPASHIKOV Constantine 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
3 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
3 ARISHITA Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
5 ASKEW Annabel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
6 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
7 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
8 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
9 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
10 TAARIQ Tanisha 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
11 BIGSBY Joaquin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
12 WANG Venise 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 3%
13 TROMBLEY Matthew 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
14 FELDMAN Louis 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
15 BROWNING Abraham 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
16 KELLEHER Cash 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% - -
17 ROLDAN Madison 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
18 WANG Rienna 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
19 FORBES Samantha 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
20 JONES Noella 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
21 ALLEN Sydney 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.