Cozmx Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Capital Sports Center - McClellan Park, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
3 CAO Chong 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 14%
3 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
5 LEI Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
6 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
7 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
7 LI Sky 100% 100% 96% 68% 26% 4%
9 ELSAYED Omar 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
10 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
11 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
11 JECHA Zachary 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
13 FAN Yuen 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
14 LI Jason 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
15 CHEN Donovan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
16 MALLARD Arthur 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
17 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
18 SEVERT David 100% 77% 26% 4% - -
19 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
20 WU Aiden 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
21 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
22 XIN Ryan 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
23 DOUGLAS Milo 100% 66% 14% 1% - -
24 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% -
25 PICACHE Merrick 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
26 LIU Jayden 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
27 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
28 GOURJI Roman 100% 52% 7% - - -
29 WEI Jonathan 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
30 XIAO Lucas 100% 100% 86% 49% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.