Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 HU Emily 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
5 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
7 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
8 LI Tira 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 CAO Kim 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
11 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
12 WEI Levana 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
13 KONDE Anika 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
14 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
15 SON Ellie 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22% 3%
16 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
17 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
18 TAN Angela 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
19 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
20 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
21 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
22 LI Gloria 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
22 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
24 GU Allison 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
25 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 6% -
26 CHAM Morgan 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
27 LIANG Katherine 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
28 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
29 YI Victoria 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
30 WU Jing 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
31 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
32 ZHANG Shihan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
33 YAP Anna 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
34 RADELL Zoe 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
35 YANG Rachel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
36 PURITZ Morgan 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
37 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 2%
38 KETT alexis 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
38 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
40 BAO Amelia 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
41 LEE Elise 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
42 FISCHER Luna 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
42 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
44 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
45 GAO Anita 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
46 FENG chloe 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
47 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
48 XU Isabella 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
49 JIN Eileen 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
50 SARBU Esme 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
51 JIANG Juliette 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
52 TANG Julia 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
53 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
54 MADDISON Estelle 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
55 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
56 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
57 FREY Elise 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
58 GAWLOWSKI Aurelia 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
59 TOM Danielle 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
60 KWAN Kelly 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
61 HAN Abigail 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
62 CHANG Grace 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
63 ATA Emily 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
64 KONG Hermione 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
65 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
66 NG Agnes 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
67 CAO Alisa 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
68 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
69 HOANG Vienna 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
70 JEON Karis 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
71 NAIK Annika 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
72 DOCTOROFF Zoe 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
73 LEE Kady Hayen 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
74 SAXENA Devina Shyamli 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
74 KIM Chloe 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
76 OTAZU Clara 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
77 SINGH Zara 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
79 MADDISON Emily 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
80 HONG Eden 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
81 DY Azurie 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
82 DOCTOROFF Chloe 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
83 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 99% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
84 LEE Claribel 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
86 PAVONY Arya 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
87 BORROK Katherine 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
88 BIVIJI Rania 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
89 UY Zoe 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.