Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
7 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
8 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
9 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
10 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
11 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
12 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
13 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
14 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
15 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
16 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
17 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
18 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
19 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
20 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 UZAR Julianna 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
22 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
23 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
24 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
25 XU Elaine 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
26 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
28 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
29 ILAGAN Ava 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 OH Chloe 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
31 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
32 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
33 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
34 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
35 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
36 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
37 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
38 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
39 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
40 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
40 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
42 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
43 LEE Kaitlin 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
43 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
45 KIM Grace 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
46 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
46 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
48 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
49 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 99% 91% 58% 19% 2%
50 KATZ Emma 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
51 MOTOVA Masha 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
52 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 94% 58% 16% 2% -
53 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
54 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
55 PARK Gabriella 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
56 SMITH Genevieve 100% 92% 54% 14% 1% -
57 JUNG Elise 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
58 HU Heidi 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
59 MISHRA Riona 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
60 YANG Selina 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
61 KIM Jodie 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
62 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
63 TASSONE Charlie 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
64 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
65 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 7%
66 WANG Chloe 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
66 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
68 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
69 TIAN Ariana 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
70 LI Tira 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
71 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% - -
72 SIROIS Neve 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
73 DONG Xiaohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
74 CHAN Isla 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
75 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
76 LIU Stephanie 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
77 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
78 JIANG Yutong 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
79 FANG Darcy 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
80 WANG Selina 100% 96% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
81 GUO Daisy 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
82 GOODWIN Julia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
83 WEI Madison 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
83 KIM Eunjae 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
85 YIN Xizi 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
86 LIAO Amber 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
87 ONO Lisa 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
88 LIU Alyssa 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
89 DILALLO Olivia 100% 71% 26% 5% 1% - -
90 MADDISON Erica 100% 42% 7% - - -
90 AN Jamie 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
92 JEON Kristen 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
93 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
94 LIU Teresa 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
95 LU Angela 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
96 LEE Jiyoung 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
97 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
98 CROMPTON Nilah 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
99 VATSA Shradha 100% 87% 46% 10% 1% - -
100 SATHISH Sreesha 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
101 GONZALEZ Alexis 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
102 KIM isabel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
103 FINCH Skylar 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.