Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
2 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 CHI Zachary 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
5 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
7 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
8 CHEN Samuel 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
9 YU Luca 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
10 LI Sean 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
12 LEE Derek 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
13 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
14 LU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8%
15 YAN Milan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
16 ZHOU Silvan 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
17 LUO Sebastian 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
18 MAK Nolan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
19 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
20 LEE Sehryum 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
21 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
22 LAW Benjamin 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
23 YONG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
24 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
25 SALIBA Jackson 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
25 GAO Kevin 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
27 LIU Spencer 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
28 BACON Bryce 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
29 JIN Jacob 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
30 KASHIRSKIY Chris 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
31 XI Eric 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
32 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 84% 46% 13% 1%
33 KAZA Avyaan 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
34 ZHU Peter 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
35 HONG Evan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 2%
36 SELOT Arjun 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
37 BUCHNER Theodore 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
37 TANG David 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5%
40 SHAPIRO Benjamin 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
41 CHATURVEDULA Sathya 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
42 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
43 SALA John 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
44 KO Caden 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
45 FLORES Gabriel 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
46 CESPEDES David 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
47 CHEN Bao 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
48 XIE Frank 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
49 PENG Kewei 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
50 ZHANG Mason 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.