Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian - - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 URSU Marcel T. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 BAI Evan - - - 1% 5% 29% 65%
3 ZHAO Royce - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
5 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 DAI Zihou - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
6 WANG Theodore - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
8 WU Vincent 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 1%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
10 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
11 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
12 BROOKS Theo - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
13 LIANG Morgan - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
14 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
15 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
16 MIAO Heqi - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
17 CHANG Ethan - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
18 SUH Leo - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 LIN Brendan - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
20 AVERY Marcus - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
21 LIU Jayden - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
22 SO Morgan - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
23 HU Jayden - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
24 TITOV Zachary 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
25 CHEN Felix - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
26 LI Michael 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 2%
27 ZHANG Shaoxuan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
28 ROH Jaden - - 3% 15% 37% 38% 8%
29 FISCHER Noel 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
30 KOREN George - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
31 PERRIN Leo - - 1% 10% 36% 42% 11%
32 HENDERSON Louis - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
33 SLAVNOV Anton - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
33 WANG Edward - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
35 HU Harry - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
36 HAHN Ever - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
37 ZALETAEV Jacob - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
38 YI Andrew - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
39 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
39 SOKOLOV Lucas 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
41 SMITH Etienne 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
42 SUBA Mason - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
43 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
44 CHAN Ewan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
45 KOREN David - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
46 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
47 HE Nolan - 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG Simon - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
49 TASIKAS Peter - - 3% 19% 43% 29% 5%
50 FOUX Jonathan 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2% -
50 ZHANG Caleb - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
52 STOLCKE Julian 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
53 LEE Ryan - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
54 SHANKAR Rahm - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
55 BROOKS Drake 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
56 TAKEBE Ren 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
57 LLOYD Max - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
58 NARAYAN Rishi - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
59 BENNETT Lachlan - 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
60 BIVIJI Adam - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
61 BEAL Colton - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
62 SUN Stephen 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
63 DMYTRUK Alexander 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
64 SONG Ryan 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 2% -
65 LU Simon 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
66 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
67 BROOKS Isaac - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
68 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
69 LEVY Daniel - - 3% 18% 37% 33% 9%
70 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
71 ZHANG Joseph 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
72 MARTINSON Torm - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
73 ZHANG Weihang 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
74 PARK Sean - 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
75 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 3% 19% 39% 32% 7%
75 TERENTIEV Michael 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
77 BI JIAJUN - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
78 CHEN Brian 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
79 VISH Manyu 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 2% -
80 HUA George (Hanxun) - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
81 FAUSTO Aidan 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
82 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
83 RISMAN Edward 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
84 DAI Ethan 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
85 PARK Layne 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
86 ARUN Viyaan 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
87 ATA Kevin 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
88 ZHANG Mark 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
89 YAO John - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
90 LEIGH Brayden 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
91 MESSINGER Joshua 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
92 LIU Jeremy - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
92 KRISHNAN Arjun 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% - -
94 LI Lucas 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
95 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
96 WANG Mason - 1% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
97 MOTOV Max 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
97 CHEN Ryan 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 11% 2%
99 ZHANG Hanzhi 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
100 SIMEONIDIS Aris 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
101 GUERRA Corey 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
102 LI Kent 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
103 YANG LOUIS 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
104 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
105 YANG Aegon 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
106 CAO HAOTIAN - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
106 ZHANG Howard 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
108 GRIFFIN Sid 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
109 SEDAKA Dylan 19% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
110 WANG Harrison 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
111 ANTONIO Elan 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
112 FERTIK Navon 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
113 SUN Leonard 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
114 BLAIR Campbell 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
115 MA Cing Tim 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 2% -
116 ALUF Brendon 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
117 O'KEEFE Brody 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
119 KONG Ethan 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
120 LI Felix 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
121 MAKLIN David 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
122 BAILEY Lyric 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
123 GAO Francis 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
124 LI Derek 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
125 JAKOSALEM Dean 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
126 LEISTNER Armin 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
127 SABINO Bennett 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
128 SHEYNZON David 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
129 MARTIRE Francis 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
130 RABEL Alexander 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
131 LEE Jeffrey 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
132 LEE Shane Gunn 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
133 RABEL Sebastian 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
134 QIN Lucas 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
135 CADET Sebastian 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
136 YUN Matthew 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
136 XU Jayden 46% 43% 9% 1% - - -
136 MITHUN Prabal 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
139 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
139 GAW Christian 21% 53% 22% 4% - - -
141 YU Sean 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
142 GAW Zachary 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
143 ZHAO Alexander 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
143 VINCENT Yijia 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
145 LEE Sebastian 25% 50% 21% 4% - - -
146 LI Jaden 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
147 DY Azriel 62% 32% 6% - - -
148 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
149 OLSON Prescott 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
150 LI Sebastian 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.