Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
2 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65%
3 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
5 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 WU Vincent 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
10 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
11 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
12 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
13 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
14 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
15 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
16 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
17 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
18 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
18 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
21 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 SO Morgan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
23 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
24 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
25 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
26 LI Michael 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
27 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
28 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
29 FISCHER Noel 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
30 KOREN George 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
31 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 11%
32 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
33 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
33 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
35 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
36 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
37 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
38 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
39 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
39 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
41 SMITH Etienne 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
42 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
43 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
44 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
45 KOREN David 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
46 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
47 HE Nolan 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
49 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
50 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2% -
50 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
52 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
53 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 8%
54 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
55 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
56 TAKEBE Ren 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
57 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
58 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
59 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
60 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
61 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
62 SUN Stephen 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
63 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
64 SONG Ryan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
65 LU Simon 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
66 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
67 BROOKS Isaac 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
68 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
69 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
70 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
71 ZHANG Joseph 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
72 MARTINSON Torm 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
73 ZHANG Weihang 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
74 PARK Sean 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
75 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
75 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
77 BI JIAJUN 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
78 CHEN Brian 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
79 VISH Manyu 100% 92% 65% 32% 10% 2% -
80 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
81 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
82 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
83 RISMAN Edward 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
84 DAI Ethan 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
85 PARK Layne 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
86 ARUN Viyaan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
87 ATA Kevin 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% -
88 ZHANG Mark 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
89 YAO John 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
90 LEIGH Brayden 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
91 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% -
92 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% 1%
92 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
94 LI Lucas 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
95 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
96 WANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
97 MOTOV Max 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
97 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
99 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
100 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
101 GUERRA Corey 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
102 LI Kent 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
103 YANG LOUIS 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
104 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
105 YANG Aegon 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
106 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
106 ZHANG Howard 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
108 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
109 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
110 WANG Harrison 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
111 ANTONIO Elan 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
112 FERTIK Navon 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
113 SUN Leonard 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
114 BLAIR Campbell 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 7% 1%
115 MA Cing Tim 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
116 ALUF Brendon 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
117 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
119 KONG Ethan 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
120 LI Felix 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
121 MAKLIN David 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 4% -
122 BAILEY Lyric 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% - -
123 GAO Francis 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
124 LI Derek 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
125 JAKOSALEM Dean 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
126 LEISTNER Armin 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
127 SABINO Bennett 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
128 SHEYNZON David 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
129 MARTIRE Francis 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
130 RABEL Alexander 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
131 LEE Jeffrey 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
132 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
133 RABEL Sebastian 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
134 QIN Lucas 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
135 CADET Sebastian 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
136 YUN Matthew 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
136 XU Jayden 100% 54% 10% 1% - - -
136 MITHUN Prabal 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
139 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
139 GAW Christian 100% 79% 26% 4% - - -
141 YU Sean 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
142 GAW Zachary 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
143 ZHAO Alexander 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
143 VINCENT Yijia 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
145 LEE Sebastian 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
146 LI Jaden 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
147 DY Azriel 100% 38% 6% - - -
148 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
149 OLSON Prescott 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
150 LI Sebastian 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.