Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 MCSHERRY Kayla - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 DUAN Sophie - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 LIU Qianchen E. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
5 SHIN Elizabeth - - 5% 26% 48% 21%
6 ZHAO Olivia - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 FIELD Elizabeth - - - - 2% 23% 75%
8 LI Joy - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
9 MCFARLANE Asha - - - - 2% 22% 75%
9 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
11 WANG Dina C. - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
12 GONG Hai - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 9%
13 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 CULLIVAN Sienna - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 18%
15 CAO Amelie - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
16 CHANG Lydia - - 1% 12% 39% 41% 8%
17 WANG Amabel - - - - 3% 25% 73%
18 HAFEZ Sahar - 1% 9% 33% 38% 16% 2%
19 YIN Chloe - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
20 ORRINGER Lottie - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
21 DE CASTRO Kai - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
22 CHOI Jion - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
23 ZHENG Annalyn - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
24 JOO Sara - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
25 KRAHE Annika - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
26 SFINTESCU Emma - 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
27 MALIK Manha - - 3% 17% 43% 32% 4%
28 SUN Nicole - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
29 MA Sophia - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
30 CHAN Jolene - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
31 MURPHY Genevieve - - 2% 13% 39% 39% 7%
32 SINGH Evangelina - 1% 10% 40% 37% 11% 1%
33 KOU Elisha - - 3% 16% 37% 37% 6%
34 YAO Abby - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
35 BYK Karalina - - 3% 17% 43% 33% 4%
36 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - - - 4% 30% 66%
37 LIN Katherine - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
38 LUO Lucy - - 4% 27% 45% 22% 2%
39 XING Melly - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
40 YANG Olivia 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
41 EPSTEIN Naomi - 1% 7% 23% 39% 26% 5%
42 IWERSEN Marte - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 3%
43 GE Deanna 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
44 CHO Olivia - 3% 14% 34% 35% 12% 1%
45 SIROTA Francis - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
46 GENG Emma 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
47 ZHU Ella - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
48 LEE So Hyung - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
49 CHOI Jian - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
50 KASHUBA Mila - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7% -
51 LI Savannah - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
52 LI Christina - 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 2%
53 SHUTZER Lily - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
54 HOLLIS Priscillia 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
55 REILLY Carys 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
56 ZHU Alivia 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
57 BAULIN Zoya 1% 12% 34% 38% 14% 1%
58 HOU Xu 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
59 KUTATELADZE Anna - - 6% 27% 43% 22% 2%
60 WU Charlotte 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
61 ZHU Audrey 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
62 DONG Katelyn 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% - -
63 LIU Sophia 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
64 SUN Erin 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
65 KHETPAL Aalia - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 2%
66 LIU Anya - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
67 PAEK Mila 2% 18% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
68 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
69 HUANG Gabrielle 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
70 FENG Claire 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 1%
71 BO Iris - 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
72 ZHANG Selina - 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
73 HUANG Rosalyn 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
74 LIN Claire 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
75 YOUM Amelia 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
76 PARK Hannah 2% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
77 ELLISON Ingrid 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
78 XU-FERGUSON Victoria - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
79 FAN Melody 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
80 SHANG Arianna 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
81 WANG Joann - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
82 FEDER Acadia - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% 1%
83 FAROOQI Eliora 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
84 KIM Lael 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
85 MCCLAIN Madison 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
86 LIU Bella 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
87 MACKINTOSH Quinn 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
88 SMART Athena 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
89 TANG Clementine 16% 46% 32% 5% - - -
90 CHAN Kaitlyn 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
90 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
92 SARAVANA Supriti 2% 17% 44% 29% 8% 1% -
93 WANG Allyson 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
94 FU Joy 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
95 CULLIVAN Elise 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
96 CHOI Cara 1% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
97 BROWN Katelyn 59% 34% 6% - - -
98 LIANG Jasmine 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
99 ZELDIN Nina 11% 40% 39% 9% 1% - -
100 PAEK Ellie 27% 46% 23% 5% - -
101 ZAMLYNNY Victoria 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
102 LOBO Sophie 46% 41% 12% 2% - - -
103 FERRARI Ande 65% 30% 5% - - - -
104 HONG Mabel 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
104 DUNCAN Kate 38% 45% 16% 2% - - -
107 ZHU Joanna 3% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
107 GONG Maggie 15% 48% 30% 7% - - -
109 XU Elaina 40% 46% 13% 1% - - -
110 CHESK Kamila 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
111 LI Doreen 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
111 JAZWINSKI Ivy 10% 43% 35% 10% 1% -
113 BENTLEY Amelia 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
113 VO Evelyn 7% 38% 39% 15% 2% - -
115 JOHNSON Elizabeth 63% 31% 5% - - - -
116 JIN Emily 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
117 CLOUD Chrystie 12% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
117 ZHU Alicia 29% 50% 19% 2% - - -
119 WANG Wenxi 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
120 KAPUR Vanya 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
121 LUXIEO Cathy 73% 24% 3% - - -
122 HUANG Emma 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.