Black & Blue Friday

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 12:45 PM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
2 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
3 BROWN Katelyn 100% 97% 73% 32% 6% < 1%
3 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
5 SIELSKI Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
6 DESMOND Sterling 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
8 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
9 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
10 RAMBHARAT Kheamraj 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
11 STENSON Alyssa 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
12 ITWARU Logan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
13 GANT Ansley 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
14 GRIETZER Elizabeth 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1% -
15 MYERS Kenneth 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
16 BOWMAN Tyler 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
17 BODNER Sara 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
17 AGNEW Charlie 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
19 STANSBURY Courtney 100% 100% 87% 52% 15% 1%
20 BARAL Samuel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.