SBFA Thanksgiving Open - SANCTIONED

Men's Saber

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 1:30 PM

South Bay Fencing Academy - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Brian - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 MARQUEZ Jeremy - - 1% 15% 61% 23%
3 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 GARDNER David - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
5 LEVITT Teddy H. - - - 3% 33% 64%
6 WU Yiyang - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
7 KIM Enoch 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% < 1% -
8 LUO Gavin 3% 19% 42% 31% 4% -
9 XIE Justin 9% 35% 40% 15% 1% -
10 YU Casey - 1% 6% 27% 44% 21% 2%
11 PLONKA Derek - - 1% 10% 36% 44% 9%
12 WANG Xuren 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
13 HAN Kyle 9% 34% 40% 16% 1% -
14 ROSALES Vincent - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
15 TSENG Kyle H. 36% 44% 17% 2% - -
16 KIM Leo 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
17 CHAN Troy - 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
18 GUO Jonathan 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
19 SUN Ryan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
20 LEE Brandon 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
21 FRENCILLO Daryl 2% 22% 42% 27% 6% - -
22 WONG Austin 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
23 SAHA Aadi 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
24 YAMANI Yousuf 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2% -
25 LIU Daniel 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
26 GALLIVAN James 66% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.