SBFA Thanksgiving Open - SANCTIONED

Men's Saber

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 1:30 PM

South Bay Fencing Academy - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
2 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 23%
3 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 GARDNER David 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
5 LEVITT Teddy H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 64%
6 WU Yiyang 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
7 KIM Enoch 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% < 1% -
8 LUO Gavin 100% 97% 78% 36% 4% -
9 XIE Justin 100% 91% 57% 17% 1% -
10 YU Casey 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22% 2%
11 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 9%
12 WANG Xuren 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
13 HAN Kyle 100% 91% 57% 17% 1% -
14 ROSALES Vincent 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
15 TSENG Kyle H. 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
16 KIM Leo 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
17 CHAN Troy 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
18 GUO Jonathan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
19 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
20 LEE Brandon 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
21 FRENCILLO Daryl 100% 98% 75% 33% 6% - -
22 WONG Austin 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
23 SAHA Aadi 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
24 YAMANI Yousuf 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2% -
25 LIU Daniel 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
26 GALLIVAN James 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.