Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-8 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HUO Yichen 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
2 SHEN Chris 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 1%
3 CHEN Andrew 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
3 HWANG Isaac 100% 96% 70% 26% 3%
5 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
6 NI Liam 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
7 YANG Liam 100% 87% 49% 14% 1%
8 WANG Nolan 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
9 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
10 SHIH Terry 100% 99% 86% 49% 10%
11 BERTEL Timothee 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
12 CHEN Alwyn 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
13 SHIH Eli 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
14 YU Anson 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
15 LEE Jayden 100% 63% 20% 3% -
16 HONG Evan 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
17 PERRY Henry 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.