Purdue University Winter Open

Mixed Saber

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Lambert Fieldhouse - West Lafayette, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Grant 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
2 PRAXL Alexa R. 100% 98% 78% 34% 7% - -
3 BOYLAN John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 8%
3 SANABRIA Enrique 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
5 GOSMEYER Matthew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
6 GHALI Anya 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 17% 2%
7 LAI Yat Hay Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
8 HU CHIEH-CHI 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
9 LAWRENCE Nikolai 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
10 COOK Aaron N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
11 JHAVERI Rajan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
12 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
13 FRYMAN Isabel 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
14 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1% -
15 MEFFORD Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 8% -
16 ZHANG Caleb 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
17 KAUFFMAN Davian 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
18 MILLSAPS Elijah 100% 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
19 DING Yuchen 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
20 MORGENSTERN Gabriel 100% 96% 70% 31% 6% - -
21 BECERRA Karen 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
22 SUGANO Evan 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
23 KATRAGADDA Nandini 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
24 HEATH Katy 100% 38% 6% - - - -
25 KING Karson 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
26 GASIOROWSKI Jakub 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
27 CHAWLA Antara 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.