Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
2 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
3 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
5 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
6 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
7 CAO Kim 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 4%
8 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
9 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 TABANCAY Ava 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% < 1%
11 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
12 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
13 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
14 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
15 BAEK Aileen 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
16 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
17 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 18%
18 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
19 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
20 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
21 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
22 YE Isabella 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
23 HU Ashley 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
24 WU Daisy 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
25 LIN Rachel 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
26 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
27 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
28 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
28 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
30 SONG Phoebe 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
31 FAN Tina 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
32 RADJABLI Maya 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
33 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
34 CASAVANTES Gabriela 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
35 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
36 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
37 NGUYEN Amelia 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
38 ZHANG angelina 100% 99% 90% 55% 11%
39 LEE Jadyn 100% 97% 74% 29% 3%
40 CUI Andrea 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
41 BI Mia 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
42 OLESKY Ellie 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
43 LIQUARD Lea 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
44 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 15% 1%
45 MENDOZA SAB 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
46 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
47 FANG Lauren 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% - -
48 TRAN Esme 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
49 DENG Oscar 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
50 DING Jolie 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 7%
52 LI Jessie 100% 70% 24% 3% -
53 SAYONE Liliana 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
54 WANG April 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
54 KIM Hyunbi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 2%
56 WANG Makayla 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
57 TSE Lavine 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
58 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
59 RO Manhattan 100% 67% 21% 2% - - -
60 ARVIND Heera 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
61 TAN Angela 100% 96% 66% 24% 4% -
62 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
63 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
64 WOO Sophia 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% - -
65 ARAVIND Aaradhana 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
66 NARRELL Olive 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
67 WONG Chloe 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
68 LOUIE Amelia 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
69 WANG Kaylee 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
70 LOPEZ Sophia 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
72 ZHOU Kelsey 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
73 LI Renee 100% 71% 22% 3% -
73 CHEN Lydia 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
75 CORTES GUTIERREZ Deihanny Y 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
76 WHITE CAREY Alberta 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
76 KIM Hyunji 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
78 SHACKLEFORD Alessandra 100% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.