Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 DESAI Zoya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
3 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 LEE Zoe E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
5 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
6 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 4%
7 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
8 CHEN bridgette 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
9 WU Gloria 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
10 LU Keeva 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
11 BANDZELADZE Emma 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
12 LIN Avery 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
13 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 CHUNG Katie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
15 YUNG Zoe 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
16 GUO Jianing 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
17 DONG Nancy 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
18 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
19 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
20 FAN Lauren 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 4% -
21 CHEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
22 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
22 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
24 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
25 LIU Anya 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
26 ZHU Claire 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
27 CHOI Jian 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
28 CHEN Aimee 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
29 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
30 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
30 PAN Samantha 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
32 LIN Clara 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
33 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18% 1%
34 KIM Ines 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 7%
35 GOWDA Siyona 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
35 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
37 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
38 HOM Emma 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
39 KO Adeline 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
40 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
41 LI Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
42 FU Angela 100% 93% 48% 12% 1% -
43 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 33% 3%
44 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
45 KIM Rylie 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
46 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
47 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
48 LAI Olivia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
49 TATINENI Charvi 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
50 KIM Audrey 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
51 LI Beryl 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
52 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 92% 60% 22% 3%
53 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
54 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
55 PEROJO Angie 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
56 ZHOU athena 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
57 FU Joy 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
58 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
59 HUANG Emma 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
60 POON Taylor 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% -
62 ZEE Bella 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
63 YOON Adeline 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
64 CAO Alexandra 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
65 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27% 1%
66 TIAN Claire 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
67 TUNG Alison 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
68 CHEN Chloe 100% 96% 68% 24% 4% -
69 HSZIEH Evelyn 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
70 LIN Tiffany 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
71 SUTTON Sadie 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
72 CHEUNG Arya 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
73 KENZHEBULATOVA Sara 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
74 KENT Audrey 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
75 LUO Olivia 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
76 YI Helen 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
77 ZHANG Anthea Jia Jia 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
78 GU Ava 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
79 LIU Celia 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
80 STOCK Nina 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
81 JOE Everly 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
82 SOUSA Lauren 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
83 SUN Zoey 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
84 SHU Kayla 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
85 YOU Mina 100% 30% 4% - - -
86 YANG Claire 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
87 GAMACHE Camdyn Harper 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
88 KENZHEBULATOVA Ailin 100% 41% 7% - - -
89 DALESSIO Carmen 100% 31% 4% - - -
90 SU Hermione Su 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
91 CHOI Mackenzie 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
92 LU Abigail 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.