Event Preview
December NACFriday, December 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4306 | 4362 - 4206 |
| 5 - 8 | 4112 | 4214 - 4028 |
| 9 - 16 | 3989 | 4087 - 3876 |
| 17 - 32 | 3710 | 3862 - 3531 |
| 33 - 64 | 3416 | 3938 - 3227 |
| 65 - 128 | 3004 | 3283 - 2752 |
| 129 - 158 | 2654 | 3151 - 2349 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.