Event Preview
December NACFriday, December 10, 2021 at 2:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3615 | 3953 - 3495 |
| 5 - 8 | 3431 | 3463 - 3404 |
| 9 - 16 | 3281 | 3378 - 3242 |
| 17 - 32 | 3173 | 3243 - 3112 |
| 33 - 64 | 2986 | 3166 - 2878 |
| 65 - 128 | 2695 | 3061 - 2440 |
| 129 - 182 | 2102 | 2619 - 1203 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.