Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
2 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
5 YOU Nina 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
6 LIU sienna 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
7 MAO Faith 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
8 ZHENG Lina 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 2%
9 YOON Michelle 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
10 XIA Kaelynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17%
11 GUAN Charlotte 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
12 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
13 SHANG Adeline 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
14 TATINI Aria 100% 65% 15% 2% - - -
15 ZHANG Nina 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
16 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
17 LIOU Skylar 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
18 LI Yisi 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% -
19 FARIAS Francesca 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 CHEN Scarlett 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
21 CHO Angelina 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
21 KIME Nora 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
23 MILLER Natalie 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
24 YOUN Caila 100% 69% 21% 2% - - -
25 KIM Madeline 100% 100% 97% 74% 25% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.