Event Results
9th Annual Knights of the Black FlagSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | VAUGHAN Paul | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 2 | BROWN Lucas | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | CHRISTIAN John R. | V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 3 | STRATHMAN Cordelia | D V V V D V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 5 | STEPHENS Rick W. | V V D V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 6 | STRASBURG Grant | V D V D V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 7 | FULLER II Thomas | D V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 8 | GENTA Camden | V D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 9 | SMITH Dylan | D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 10 | BUECKING Jannis | V D V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 11 | SCOGGIN Daniel | V V D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 12 | GIOCOLO David | D D V V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 13 | HELLMAN Daniel | D V D D V V | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 14 | METTE JB | V D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 15 | HERL DeLaine | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 16 | RENAUD Josie | D D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 17 | DUNN Heidi | D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 18 | PETTIJOHN Luke | V D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 19 | WESTON Michael | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |